If Obama and Trump went head-to-head in the 2028 election, here’s who would win
A brand-new poll has Americans imagining a scenario that, under the Constitution, could never happen: Barack Obama vs. Donald Trump in a 2028 presidential race. While the 22nd Amendment limits presidents to two terms, speculation has captured public attention — especially with Trump openly teasing the idea of a third term and Obama remaining silent.
Earlier this year, Trump addressed the hypothetical matchup with characteristic enthusiasm. “I’d love that. That would be a good one, I’d like that,” he told reporters in the Oval Office. Pressed on the constitutional limits, he added, “People are asking me to run… they do say there’s a way you could do it, but I have not looked into it. I want to do a fantastic job. We have four years… still close to four years.”
Trump’s hints aren’t new. In interviews, he has repeatedly suggested that a third term is being discussed by supporters, though he acknowledged the legal hurdles. “I like working. I’m not joking… it’s far too early, but there are methods,” he said with a grin.
The Numbers Are In
While the matchup may remain purely hypothetical, Daily Mail and J.L. Partners surveyed 1,013 registered voters to gauge public reaction — and the results were eye-opening:
- 52% would vote for Barack Obama
- 41% would back Donald Trump
Breaking it down further:
- 73% of Hispanic voters preferred Obama
- 68% of Black voters sided with Obama
Interestingly, Obama emerged as the only recent Democratic figure to outperform Trump in these hypothetical matchups. When other Democrats like Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris were included, Trump held the lead.
A Race That Never Was
Obama first entered the White House in 2008, winning reelection in 2012. Trump followed with a surprise 2016 victory, a 2020 loss, and a return to power in 2024 — cementing both as the most dominant political figures of the last two decades. Yet despite overlapping political legacies, they have never faced each other directly in an election.
Could It Ever Happen?
Legally, a Trump-Obama rematch in 2028 is nearly impossible. Changing the Constitution would require two-thirds approval from both chambers of Congress and ratification by at least 38 states. Still, with Trump’s repeated hints, the idea continues to spark curiosity — and debate. “I’m not joking… there are methods,” he reminded the public, keeping the fantasy alive.
While Americans can only speculate, the poll highlights how powerful both names remain in shaping public opinion and the imagination of voters.
What do you think? Could a Trump vs. Obama showdown ever capture the nation’s attention again? Share your thoughts below.
